Tuesday, March 22, 2011

BSE Sensex Elliott Wave Count

In Elliott terms the BSE Sensex seems to be forming an elliott 5 wave pattern down with distinct fibonacci time relationships. The Wave III has subdivided into 5 waves.

Time Relationships
Wave I= .5 * Wave II (+/-1 day)
Wave IV= .5*Wave III

Price Relationships.
Wave III = 161.8 *Wave I

Forecast
Using Wave I as a benchmark, Wave V would look to end between 17295 and 16620 or at 16000 (which is a nice round number and previous support) around the 7-14th of April which would be a tradeable buying opportunity.
Look for dying momentum to the downside, to pick a intermediate bottom.

Disclaimer: As with all TA, the better it looks the more likely to fail.

2 comments:

  1. And with the move today to 19000 (above 18960)Wave 1 is breached so we cannot count a wave 4 as illustrated above. Wave III could be subdividing as long as 20664 (Wave II) is not breached. New count to follow in a few days.

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  2. ***Updated Count******
    http://jrodperspective.blogspot.com/2011/04/bse-sensex-elliott-wave-count.html

    ReplyDelete