Even though this is a short term count, the implications are long term, since this is a short term rally in a downward market.
My last count on October 31st was able to catch a 2000+ pt move in the Sensex. A full break up of this count is below in the first chart.
The second chart is the retracement stage of this move. The retracement count is picture perfect A-B-C-X-A-B-C which i think is almost complete with only a 3rd, 4th and 5th wave of the C pending, and I think will end approximately with the sensex @ 16200. From there we have 2 options
1.) We rapidly break the lows on the 23rd of November @ 15478
2.) The retracement is not complete. The caveat here is that retracements are harder to count and the current move that i have counted as A-B-C-X-A-B-C is part of a much bigger retracement. So that means we get a short term bottom @15478 ish and then we might go above 16200.
Either way there is a short term top in the 16200 area which can become either a longterm top or a short term top.
Posted on Nov 28th at 2:20pm IST with Sensex@ 16085.90
As usual realtime updates in the comments section.
My last count on October 31st was able to catch a 2000+ pt move in the Sensex. A full break up of this count is below in the first chart.
The second chart is the retracement stage of this move. The retracement count is picture perfect A-B-C-X-A-B-C which i think is almost complete with only a 3rd, 4th and 5th wave of the C pending, and I think will end approximately with the sensex @ 16200. From there we have 2 options
1.) We rapidly break the lows on the 23rd of November @ 15478
2.) The retracement is not complete. The caveat here is that retracements are harder to count and the current move that i have counted as A-B-C-X-A-B-C is part of a much bigger retracement. So that means we get a short term bottom @15478 ish and then we might go above 16200.
Either way there is a short term top in the 16200 area which can become either a longterm top or a short term top.
Posted on Nov 28th at 2:20pm IST with Sensex@ 16085.90
As usual realtime updates in the comments section.
Sensex @16186 seems to have fullfilled my 16200 target.
ReplyDeleteWith the overnight developments this post is gonna look like a bad joke. Upside target would now be 16750.
ReplyDeleteDecember 5th 2pm IST Sensex @16736.
ReplyDeleteRange of 16863 - 16728 is very important. Breach of either boundary will cause some serious moves.